Drought-affected and the next crop

Heat waves and drought last summer, will affect crop and next year. In the soil lacks moisture, so winter sown a quarter less than a year ago, the newspaper "Vedomosti".

In the Saratov region of winter sown 64% Of the forecast (the data of the regional Ministry of Agriculture), in the Orenburg region — 83% Of the area, although the optimum sowing time has passed. Even worse, the regional authorities characterize shoots on large acreage as weak, while sitting in the Volga Federal District, is almost complete, says "Sovecon" in the research report.

Results of winter sowing determine Krasnodar, Stavropol and Rostov Region, said the executive director of the analytical center "Sovecon" Andrei Sizov: Kuban sowing is ahead of the Don — a noticeable lag, according to the Ministry of Agriculture of Rostov, half of last year: not enough moisture in the soil.

The director of "The Valar-agro" Sergei Komlev recognizes that seeding company behind schedule, but there is still time before October 20, he said.

"The soil is dry and the Stavropol region, thus sowing only started three days ago, with the rain," — says the chairman of the Grain Union Stavropol Leo Bearman, and optimal sowing of winter crops in the Stavropol region — from 24 September to 1 October — already passed. Winter crops sown in the region 70-75% Of areas.

If area sowing winter due to lack of rain fall from the planned 18 million to 15 million hectares, will have to increase the wedge spring sowing to 30%, said in August the Minister of Agriculture Elena Skrynnik. But the expansion of the spring crop is unlikely to help: in the south over 60% of sown winter crops, the yield is higher every two, objects chairman agro "Maxim" Boris Jankowski.

According to forecasts Jankowski, harvest 2011 will be worse than usual. In 2008 and 2009, Russia had a record 108.1 million and 97 million tons of grain, respectively, in 2007 — 81.8 million tons. If the weather conditions will be at the average level for the last few years, the production of grain 2011 may reach 80-85 million tons, Sizov said.

According to the forecast Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach, the grain harvest 2011 will reach 85-90 million tons.

Source: Eye of the Planet

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