“War. War never changes …”
Familiar phrase, right? That’s just somehow absurd, it now sounds. How much war doesn’t change, if only 60 years ago? It’s typical of modern warfare? Nevertheless, the war doesn’t change. And sometimes – very unpredictable. However, people like Michael O’Hanlon think they can predict how they will change military technology in the next 20-25 years, and imagine future armies.
Michael O’Hanlon – External consultant of the USA in the period of 2011–2012, specialist in the USA, author of the book “Technological Changes and the Future of War”.
By the way, from 2010 to 2020, they were predicted quite accurately. However, he didn’t try to predict what changes would come to him from 2020 to 2040.
Honestly, nothing good can be expected. It will be much more efficient than the XXI century. The reasons for the armed conflict. However, in his predictions, Mike is the main enemy of world terrorism. Really thinks about. But let us graciously pretend that we are talking about terrorists.
According to Michael O’Hanlon, all military technology can be divided into 4 categories:
- sensors and detection methods;
- computers and communications;
- engines, projectiles and platforms;
- other technologies and types of weapons.
He has been undergoing removal. For convenience, all data are summarized in the following table:
Military technology |
The level of development of military technology | ||
| low | average | tall | |
1. Sensors and detection methods |
|
|
|
2. Computers and communications |
|
|
|
3. Engines, shells and platforms |
|
|
|
4. Other military technologies and weapons |
|
|
|
Click here to view the full table from the smartphone screen.
And in something, progress will not be great. For example, computer intelligence, AI (artificial intelligence) and robotics. The newest technologies of warfare. You can master them.
Ex-consultant of the CIA once again refers to the well-known “Moore’s law”, which will double each year. However, it’s not. We will be able to complete the futures Artificial Intelligence. Which, of course, will teach to kill. It is a fact that it has been carried out in this direction.
In addition, the improvement of robotic technologies will help the phenomenal development of AI. He has reached his test results. But in the future this direction will develop even more actively.
Concerning radio technologies and sensors, It’s not a problem. Therefore, it’s not a problem. Not to mention the hacker attacks.
If we talk about nanotechnology, rocket science, There are ways to increase the number of fighters. That is, progress will be, but quite expected.
And the war itself does not change. She is also a senseless, cruel and merciless. For those who have been accidentally surviving. Here, alas, even survival skills during hostilities will not always be able to help.
Army of the future
